Leopardtrader's comments michael kors grayson satchels In reality market timing works.In fact timing the market is the required edge for success in any business for that matter.Negotiating skills are important part of business, and patience is crucial to successful negotiation.For example, now and then every business has to deal with its suppliers.Many erroneously think of market timing as application of one"Wonderful"Mechanical indicator to let you know when to buy and sell.Using indicators pre supposes that history repeats itself.This is clearly wrong.Market timing embodies deep knowledge of the business, market structure and acumen.That ability to make simple but objective emotionless decision based on facts of future expectations.If i buy winter clothes in summer time sales to sell it back in winter time is a strategy that indicators wont show you.It has quite a lot to do with both your financial and intellectual capitalization.That is ones ability to value risks with regard to price.Remember price and value are never same.Price continues to chase value.Value leads price.When they are far from each other there is potential for a strong trend;When they are close then you notice sideways market.Proper management of price value equation leads to expert management of risks which is the business of investing/trading.Entry must be at a discount while exit must be at premium.Reward must overwhelm risk for investment to be a going concern that assures growth occasioned by consistent positive total return.It was an autonomous part of ukraine.It is not same as donetsk or other parts of ukraine.In usa terms it looks somewhat like peurto rico to other usa states.Just same way hong kong is now to mainland china.Get it?It has been russian until 1954 and more than 60% are ethnic russians.So it is easy for them to decide to go back to russia.But that is not the issue.The issue is this:Where are the leaders(Probably in exile)From 2million crimea protesting everywhere in the world complaining about russian action?Or do they not have human beings or vociferous politicians?I have also asked this question before to an ukrainian:Since southeast is about 20milion of 45million ukraine who among the current leaders from president, pm, finance, defence ministers, speaker or what have you that come from the south east?He failed to answer that question and that was enough for me.What my interest as an investor is to make objective decision based on facts devoid of emotions.By the way it does not show good training to call a leader of any nation a"Thug".You are thus calling stupid the millions of people that put the person in power.Even dear leader in north korea i will not refer to as a thug.The fact of the matter here is what putin said.He is not calling for independence.This was clarified by his spokesperson and that is it.We all know exactly what happened here.Ukraine has been a divided country like many others.The western side and eastern side.In usa we also have blue and red states.In canada we quebec and the english speaking side.It is not a surprise.But the former government was unconstitutionally replaced instigated by people from the west and rightly the eastern base of the former administration revolted.Just same way saddam(Sunni)Was overthrown in iraq and shiites grabbed power giving birth to isis(Or whatever their name is) the extreme militia ofSunni Moslems.Instead of talking a military operation was waged by the new government on own people causing deaths of thousands.That is crazy!Even common criminals as hijackers are offered opportunity of negotiations.It was pretty foolish for new administration to believe on military victory to russia supported insurgents.Nato is a defensive military alliance.It is not an offensive one.It does not run foreign policies of members.Nato did not fight falkland wars for britain.It did not fight for france in mali or car.It did not fight for turkey against the kurds(Pkk).Russia is not a threat to europe.Russia was not forced to give up other parts of ussr.It was rather orchestrated by kgb to try to keep russia cohesive.To me russia has no expansionist agenda even from history.Russia did not take part in slave trade neither did it participate in colonialism.It is important for all neighbors of great powers to be in good term instead of harbouring an adversary.Canada, mexico and even cuba cannot afford to do that.Dublin cannot afford to allow chinese bases in ireland without decisive action by britain.Same for china or france. Sep 1 10:26 AMUSD rallied from $79 to present near $83 in the last 3 months or so.Now this is a huge move in currency terms(Equivalent to about 30% move in s 500).Most currencies globally relative to us dollar are down including euro or ruble.There is nothing extra ordinary per ruble here.If one michael kors handbags outlet wanna see how ruble is performing why not compare with similar emerging market resource based economies as brazil, south africa or even korean won, euro, yen and so on.Being a player in this space i see nothing with ruble at the current levels. Sep 1 06:09 AMUS dollar rallied from $79 to the current near $83 level in the last 23 months.Now that is a huge move in currency terms(Equivalent to s 30% or so move).Most currencies relative the us dollar are weaker across the globe.There is nothing special here about russian ruble.If you need to find out how the ruble is doing better compare it with other emerging resource based currencies like brazil lira, south african rand or korean won even euro or yen.Then you will get it if there is anything significant about russian currency.As a player in this area there is absolutely nothing extra ordinary here.Besides we are doing their job for them as everyone wanted a devalued currency.If russia sells arms or hydrocarbon in us dollar and convert to ruble they have got plenty for domestic purchasing.Their exportable products such as arms become cheaper relative to competition.Or i am missing something? Sep 1 06:00 AMA typical game is non deterministic with random outcome and therefore from onset lacks player consistency or dominion.Business on the other hand is somewhat deterministic if one has good but realistic information and implements that without emotions.Of course mathematics is part but not equal to investing/trading. Aug 31 04:21 PMExcellent article that makes sense.Investing/trading is a michael kors charm tassel business where many are called but few are chosen.There exist no mechanical way to consistently outperform the market or positive total return.Rather investing/trading embodies special skill set derivable from experience, market knowledge and business acumen.Some say it trends 20% of the time while ranging 80% of the time.The difficulty with trend following algorithms is that it is merely a lilo(Last in last out).Ideally the best system would have been fifo(Fist in first out)Just like a stack or bodmas in mathematics.Last in first out is a momentum model but difficult to implement especially on the exit side.So in my own world trend following system does not work or works only when you are lucky to enter a trend early.But it is almost impossible to enter early in a trend using our normal backward looking engines as death cross.Therefore what does not work consistently or in a large sample should not be considered a trading/investment strategy.It should not be based on luck but leading edge performance.An investment/trading strategy that works must assure confidence and must always force low risk and high return.Buy and hold is excellent for dividend investors and not for growth because it is harder to"Imagine"What happens in 10 20 years than what happens in the 12 years. Aug 31 03:43 PMMatt has done a clear and clean job with facts.Of course mr.Market may not be rational but it is appreciable when someone comes up with hard numbers instead of brandishing rumors and half truths.Appreciated.For i michael kors sale believe gtat remains one of the best stocks out there that has a clear upside view based on fundamentals.Aapl is simply a behemoths and have taken effort to partner with gtat.Remember gtat unlike auth isw not owned by aapl but could still supply to other competitors under certain terms.Bear in mind that gtat is near monopoly in this sapphire thing which also has pretty high entry barrier.I am overweight gtat with their suppliers rbcn

Related Articles:

Linked Articles

http://sasa0715.blogtur.com/14119160/Doing-the-christian-louboutin-outlet-sale.html

http://jacekmachala.com/was-all-over-the-christian-louboutin-outlet

http://sasa07.wapath.com/__xt_blog/__xtblog_entry/10516991-christian-louboutin-outlet-far-things-brought#xt_blog

Posted by: sasa0715 at 01:12 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
Post contains 1372 words, total size 10 kb.